![]() So if the Packers operate more like these teams, Rodgers could slip from his current QB10 average draft position, despite being more talented than Garoppolo, Cousins, and Brady. ![]() Excluding Lamar Jackson – because he’s a definite outlier here in fantasy scoring – and Drew Brees – because he only played 11 games- the QB’s of the remaining three teams finished QB14, QB15, and QB12 ( Jimmy Garoppolo, Kirk Cousins, and Tom Brady). Having the option to run effectively and pass effectively on any given play by creating mismatches through 12 and 21 personnel is how the Packers feel they can best win football games and that thinking has merit.Īdditionally, among teams with the highest rate of 21 personnel last season, five of the top six teams went to the playoffs ( 49ers, Vikings, Ravens, Patriots, and Saints). Passing is obviously the most efficient way to score and that might lead one to think that more WRs on the field is the best way to pass, but these stats show that’s not always true. According to stats via Warren Sharp, 21 personnel has the highest efficiency in expected points added, highest efficiency per pass attempt, yards per play, and is number one in Success Rate. ![]() Will his TD numbers take an even further hit as Matt LaFleur incorporates more of his heavy 12 and 21 personnel offense?ĭrafting another running back and another tight end, while not bringing in a lot of wide receiver help for the offense, would indicate to some that the Packers are ready to “establish the run” and pound the rock 75 percent of games. But over the last two, he’s topped out at 25 and 26 TDs. From 2009 to 2016, Rodgers threw 28 touchdowns in each season he played 15 or more games. He’s perennially throwing for or getting close to 4,000 yards passing, but a big concern for Rodgers the past two seasons and going into this season are his passing touchdown numbers. The only two seasons he didn’t finish as a top-ten QB were in 20, when he didn’t play at least 15 games (he played nine and seven games, respectively in the two years when he suffered broken collarbones). Over his career, Rodgers has finished as a top-two QB six times and in the top ten nine times. ![]() While the Cal product’s next-gen stats show that he isn’t the same MVP-caliber player he once was, Rodgers has been and still is a consistent top-10 fantasy quarterback. The analytics community has the loudest opinion on him declining in a “real” football sense and that has bled into his fantasy football viability. Plenty of people have an opinion on Aaron Rodgers these days, but then again, there always have been plenty of them floating out there. ![]()
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